tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6363362.post2937445882272910410..comments2024-03-14T08:15:15.207-07:00Comments on CADRE Comments: Bayes Theorum And Probablity of God: No Dice! BKhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01967809861892681780noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6363362.post-22158120605376706072016-03-12T09:29:02.656-08:002016-03-12T09:29:02.656-08:00yea just like they high jacked Occam
yea just like they high jacked Occam<br />Joseph Hinman (Metacrock)https://www.blogger.com/profile/06957529748541493998noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6363362.post-48239064839079625862016-03-11T06:21:08.892-08:002016-03-11T06:21:08.892-08:00Ha! That point, and the broader point about the li...Ha! That point, and the broader point about the limited applicability of Bayes' Theorem, are well taken. It's difficult to use evidence to "update" metaphysical beliefs and assumptions whose validity is not based on evidence. I do think skeptics have every right to use Bayesianism against hardcore Christian evidentialism, though I think even then their arguments fail (the point Don McIntoshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01387665301048762546noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6363362.post-44152953192314914262016-03-10T22:44:56.786-08:002016-03-10T22:44:56.786-08:00Thanks Don. I notice Carrier says Bayes is just pr...Thanks Don. I notice Carrier says Bayes is just prompting historians to use the logic they should be using anyway. Then just do that. I always do.Joseph Hinman (Metacrock)https://www.blogger.com/profile/06957529748541493998noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6363362.post-47940241573416216302016-03-10T10:53:28.955-08:002016-03-10T10:53:28.955-08:00Good stuff Joe. I agree that Bayes' Theorem ha...Good stuff Joe. I agree that Bayes' Theorem has its limitations. I don't think it's the best way to answer historical questions, for example, let alone deep metaphysical questions. <br /><br />As I see it the prior probability for just about any significant historical event has to be low, just because significant historical events are usually unprecedented (that's what makes them Don McIntoshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01387665301048762546noreply@blogger.com